Existence or Extinction?

Pakistan and India have lived in an environment of “No War, No Peace” despite being Conjoined twins since birth in August, 1947. However, quite like well established copycat Indian Bollywood  movies, repeated false flag operations(FFO) carried out by war mongering extremists Indian government led by Mr. Modi and knee jerk blame always shifted within minutes to Pakistan for political expediency, always seem to bring the two countries to the brink of War, as rightly or wrongly projected by media blitz by both the countries. The most recent example of such an ill-conceived FFO happened on April 22, 2025 where an unidentified shooter(s) killed around two dozen people of mixed religions and ethnic identities at a tourist resort called Pahalgam in IIOJ&K.

In  order to negate the Indian blame game and to address the national and international community, the Pakistani Minister for Foreign Affairs (prefers to  be called the Deputy Prime Minister) held a press briefing along with a Military spokesperson on Wednesday April 30, 2025. DG ISPR through a well prepared and puissant power-point presentation, dismantled the Indian narrative, accusing New Delhi of orchestrating a pattern of misinformation, staged provocation, and state-sponsored terrorism aimed at destabilising Pakistan and the region. He highlighted the geographic reality of the attack, stating that the site was located deep within Indian-controlled territory, around 220 km away from the Line of Control, every inch of which is heavily guarded in depth and width with almost one million Indian troops. Criticising India’s political motives, he stated: “For the sake of its short-term myopic objectives, it is facilitating this terrorism, it is abetting this perverted creeping ideology. Why? For short-term political objectives.” According to DG ISPR, Since January 2024, Pakistan had experienced 3,700 terror incidents, conducted 77,816 operations, neutralised 1,666 terrorists, and recorded 3,896 casualties. “This is terrorism that is being abetted and sponsored by India. It’s for the whole world to see, they feel it, its effects. We must be cognisant that Pakistan is the last bulwark standing against this scourge of terrorism.”

Written in the background of a suicide attack on an Indian paramilitary convoy at Pulwama in Illegally Indian occupied Kashmir on 14th February 2019, I had published detailed analysis on Indian game plan for such sinister FFOs and Indian regular war mongering on March 19, 2019, titled “Planned Madness or MAD  planned?”, most of the points were covered in the recent ISPR presentation, which worthy readers may like to scan again as every point written therein is even more relevant today due to ever multiplying high-tech nuclear, missile, stealth air and other multi-layered strike capabilities that both Nuclear Armed Countries possess with least reaction time and with great chances of accident and obviously with greater probability of “Mutual Assured Destruction”. Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) is a nuclear deterrence strategy where the threat of overwhelming retaliation by either side prevents a nuclear attack. The concept assumes that if a nuclear attack occurs, the opposing side will retaliate with nuclear weapons, leading to the destruction of both attackers and defenders.

Indian tendency to blame Pakistan for indigenous insurgencies is practiced as a ritual as had been witnessed after Mumbai, Uri, Pathankot, Parliament, attack on Samjhauta express Train, or Pulwama…..all later traced back to either stage managed by Indian intelligence agencies or launched by native freedom fighters. However, the Indian state-sponsored self-embarrassing political frenzy unduly hyped by Indian media blitz equally responded by Pakistan totally disregards the unimaginable annihilative power of Nuclear Weapons. Sadly, most of the commentators in both countries have neither any combat experience nor comprehension of difference between War, battle, hot-pursuit operation or frequent small arms fire skirmishes; let alone Nuclear War  of absolute obliteration.

There is a need to reevaluate as to why India is so obsessed with Jammu and Kashmir’s occupation despite having fought three wars with Pakistan and in spite of her failure to suppress Kashmiri freedom struggle in the last 78 years. India has 28 states and 7 Union Territories, though disputed Indian occupied Jammu and Kashmir is also erroneously mentioned as twenty-ninth state by the Indian government. Isn't it for geostrategic location of occupied Kashmir, resource-rich beautiful territory/tourism money, control/ denial of rivers' waters to Pakistan, pursuit of RSS dream of greater India, ultimate competition with China, to undermine CPEC/ BRI for greater regional role assigned by USA and finally contesting China as a main competitor in Asia-Pacific region.

Let me repeat the conclusion of earlier referred piece here, “The most alarming phenomenon observed was the reported nexus between India, Israel and some unstated countries forcing Pakistan to expose its conventional and unconventional military capabilities; and a crop of amateur nuclear experts flooding Indian and Pakistani print and electronic media with raw ideas for a nuclear face-off between the two neighbouring countries with least regard to the extreme risk even in discussing such Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) scenarios. While Modi/ BJP might have planned a calculated madness that would serve their narrow-minded political and flawed extreme right ideological purposes, they got to comprehend that Pakistan suffering from conventional military imbalance had been forced to acquire nuclear military capability to deter an all-out war with India and not to fight a nuclear war that God forbid is bound to ring the bell for an end of the World Scenario….. the less said, the better”.

Leadership in both the border-sharing Nuclear Armed States has to understand once for all that it is no more a matter of choice between “War or Peace” but a question of  “Existence or Extinction”. The earlier India sits on the table with Pakistan to find an amicable solution to Jammu and Kashmir in the light of UN resolutions and follows the ‘Indus Water Treaty’ in letter and spirit, the better it is for the global peace. UNO has to be more proactive than erstwhile League of Nations as the contemporary world is laden with extreme military destructive capabilities that can blow the globe many times over leaving no scope for someone left to the regret”.